This season of Survivor started off so promisingly, but I feel like it's starting to peter out a little bit. Not a lot has changed over the past several episodes. Yellow tribe keeps saying that they're just getting unlucky, purple tribe keeps crushing them, and one-by-one the women that Evil Russell doesn't like keep getting voted out. This week's victim was my own Liz, whose only chance lay in a merge that didn't come in time to save her.
Next week's merge I hope will reinvigorate the show. I think there is potential for a lot of scheming and drama once the merge happens, but it will only happen if Evil Russell makes a move. He seems like the only one smart enough to do any scheming at all right now. Eric is a runner-up in this category, but he hasn't been tested enough yet to see if he really got the skillz. But I would love nothing more than to see a yellow tribe + purple ladies overthrow of the purple guys + Shambo. It's probably unlikely to happen, but if there's ever a chance to knock those guys off their throne, this is it.
Evil Box (29 points):
1. Evil Russell (3 pts)
2. Erik (22 pts)
3. Shambo (4 pts)
Pizza Place (21 points):
1. John (8 pts)
2. Brett (10 pts)
[3. Ashley (3 pts)]
Cutesiness (17 pts):
1. Monica (8 pts)
2. Mick (3 pts)
3. Laura (6 pts)
Goody Two-Shoes (14 pts):
[1. Good Russell (5 pts)]
[2. Liz (3 pts)]
3. Kelly (6 pts)
Dachui (10 pts):
1. Jaison (3 pts)
2. Dave (4 pts)
3. Natalie (3 pts)
Here's how I rank us:
1. Evil Box - If anyone has a chance to win on the sad little yellow tribe, it's Evil Russell. Shambo doesn't know it but she's now a part of the most powerful alliance currently in the game. Eric may prove to be the canniest player this season. They will all rack up points in the individual immunity challenges. Nuff said.
2. Pizza Place - John and Brett seem to be Eric's lackeys. They could easily go deep, but I don't think Eric will risk going against them in the finals. They need to throw a coup before it comes down to that, but will either have the wherewithal to think of it? They'll probably win a lot of the upcoming individual challenges; hopefully a streak of those will put them in contention with Evil Box and keep things interesting!
3. Dachui - I would think that Jaison is more likely to bring in points with the upcoming merge what with his size and strength, but he's completely given up. Dave might take down a few, but Natalie probably won't. Since they're already behind in the points, I think it will be very hard for them to come back and win this game. All their hopes rest on Action "He got clotheslined... by the clothesline!" Dave, who's still a contender. He's in a unique position of being a part of the strongest alliance without being a physical threat, which I think will serve him well now that they've merged. The biggest negative is that the other people on this team are from the yellow tribe, so even if he makes it to the finals, Dachui may be so far behind in other points that even a win wouldn't be enough for them to take down the pool.
4. Cutesiness - Moon's picks have risen in my opinion, though not enough to move up any spots in the rankings. I think his team will greatly benefit from the upcoming merge. I don't think they'll win many individual challenges, but they might last longer than I predicted earlier.
5. Goody Two-Shoes - my team has crumbled. I'm down to my dreg, a scrawny woman who is unlikely to win many individual challenges. I hope for a lot of team challenges where she's paired with Eric and Russell. For me to have a chance at winning this I need her to win the whole thing, I need her to win challenges along the way, and I need the other finalists to be from low-point teams. I'm basically giving myself a 0.73% chance to win the whole thing, and a 38% chance that I'll be out completely within the next 3 weeks. Go Kelly!!
Individual power Rankings (parenthesis indicate last week's rank):
1. Eric (1)
2. Evil Russell (3)
3. Dave (2)
4. Brett (6)
5. John (4)
6. Natalie (11)
7. Laura (7)
8. Kelly (5)
9. Shambo (10)
10. Mick (9)
11. Jaison (8)
12. Monica (13)
13. Liz (12)
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7 comments:
Pickle, I'm so proud!! You posted 2 weeks in a row! However, I now hate the fact that we have minus points for sitting a player out on a challege. Team Dachiu would have so many more points otherwise.
That's the way the Survivor pool is played Dachui. If you didn't want negative points, you shouldn't have picked such wussy players. Rooks...
Pickett, so far in your analysis, you have not mentioned that fact that Evil Box will most likely have to cannibalize itself at some point. I don't see evil Russell and Erik joining alliances anytime soon. I'm guessing they will want each other out of the game pretty quickly after the merge. If this happens sooner rather than later, Sander's stable might not be guaranteed the victory just yet. We'll see if they are smart enough to play the immunity when they really need to. Go merge!
You guys want to just take me to Murphy's this Friday and call it a season? That way Pickett won't have to keep updating this blog, keep score, etc.
Lol I would like to see a battle of the brains, Erik v. Evil Russ. How awesome would it be if they targeted each other at the same time, each played their immunity idol, and then some lowly peon who thought they were in no danger at all but randomly got 1 voted ended up getting booted? That would be almost as classic as the Edgardo episode!
I was going to lambast these individual power rankings but the more I thought about them the more I have to agree. You're right, the stereotypically strong males had better pack their bags.
I figured out how to make a comment, so here are my quick thoughts: Zack is in trouble! After looking quite strong, I now think he's about to lose his peeps in about 3 straight weeks. Shambo, aka Dumbo, may stay around longer if she doesn't drive them crazy just cuz she's so not a threat. How stupid is she anyway? "Who's Erik?" I think Mick is playing it smart as is Brett--i.e., they're both flying under the radar for now. And JAISON finally showed that he is smart! Not just the "let's go for Erik" move, but how he very slyly got ER to play the idol. (We had to go back and watch that whole segment twice...finally some strategy and intrigue!) I am also a big fan of Dave. And if Kelly is the Scarlett Johannson lookalike, you might have another "sleeper" on your team. Actually, Natalie proved she has a brain last night too, so my 2 cents: I'm liking the Dachui team.
Eager to read your next installment--but at least you got your wish about the women stepping up last night! Good call, girl!
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